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Retail sales in June slumped at the fastest pace in more than 20 years, after trading in food stores fell at record rates.
Official figures show that the volume of sales fell by 3.9 per cent in June – the largest monthly decline since records began in 1986 – taking the annual growth rate to 2.2 per cent.
Analysts had expected retail sales volume to decline by 2.5 per cent in June, following May’s surprise rise of 3.5 per cent.
Trading volumes in food shops declined by 3.6 per cent – the largest fall in 22 years – while sales in predominantly non-food stores also dropped sharply, by 4.5 per cent.
However, economists said that the monthly fall in June may give an unclear impression.
Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at Global Insight, the economic consultancy, said: "The correction in retail sales in June was so marked that it more than wiped out May's surge.
“Clearly, just as May's reported sharp growth in retail sales over-stated the strength of sales that month, so June's largest fall on record overstates the weakness."
The Office for National Stastistics, which was criticised over May's figures that appeared to be at odds with other surveys, said that monthly data was volatile, and that three-monthly figures gave a better idea of trends.
But sales volume in three months to the end of June also show a slowdown in consumer spending, as more people grapple with higher utility, fuel and mortgage bills.
Sales rose by 0.6 per cent in the three months to June, behind a 1.7 per cent rise in the first quarter of the year.
However, sales were 4.4 per cent higher in the three months to June compared with the same period last year.
Mr Archer said the prospects for consumer spending in the coming months were "pretty bleak".
But Vicky Redwood, of Capital Economics, said the figure could raise hopes that the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will keep the interest rate at 5 per cent if it is satisfied that falling sales will prevent retailers from passing on their increased costs to customers.
"This will reduce the chances that Tim Besley will muster a majority for a rate hike next month," she said.
The minutes of the Bank of England's rate-setting committee, published yesterday, showed that Mr Besley voted for a rate rise earlier this month, while a majority of seven of his colleagues voted to keep rates on hold.
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abracadabra! the central bankers that create fiat money out of thin air (in complicity with the ruling elite) reduce credit/money supply and subsequently buy up assets/industries at fire sale prices leaving the sheople in penury. and you wonder how it came to this....
j.jones, the city, london,
"Trading volumes in food shops declined by 3.6 per cent the largest fall in 22 years"
Aaaah - has no-one made the connection that this is because we are now eating up our food scraps as recently advised by Gordon Brown?!
;oD
Buns, Hampshire, UK
Story about nothing. As Bruce says, 5 saturdays in May this year and 4 in June. Last year had the opposite.
Andy Taylor, Reading,
Time to turn the clocks back to a nineteenth century Tory manifesto: make Britain a "Cheap place for living". Sack all the quangos, reduce the civil service and local authority budgets by 60%, set the tube prices as in Moscow (8p a trip), reduce income tax to 10%, eliminate parking fines, etc.
M Loggin, Doha, Qatar
The Western world is in terminal decline. Wake up!
derin, london, uk
As a independent shop owner trading has been slow for a couple of years now.The Govt and big chains have massaged figures to avoid bad press but now that the media is consistently telling us how poor we are going to be the Govt and big chains haveto save face.Things are going to get really tough.
Davey, Luton,
Cant buy anything. All my money goes in taxes. Sorry.
ronnie, bucks, UK
I am being told I don't save enough money ... so when I slow my spending, pay off credit card bills and defer or cancel large purchases to increase my savings there is widespread alarm ... you cannot have it both ways Mr Darling.
Gordy, Camberley, UK
emmakatlin, Leeds. the solution to a credit bubble is not more credit. The apparent recent growth of the UK economy has been funded on debt. You can't build a sustainable economy based on the housing market, money lending and pay-as-you-go mobile phone sales.
A Harris, Kettering, UK
Is'nt this exactly why the BOE keep interest rates so high, so that spending stops. They can't have it both ways!
David Kinsley, Derby, UK
Oh dear all you consumers better get out there and buy if you don't want interest rates to go through the roof.
judy, Liverpool, England
Please do not forget that we as small shop owners are also suffering with higher costs to us, it has got to a point where we cannot take a living wage from the business and as owners we are working for less than the minimum wage, and are working longer hours as we cannot afford to pay the staff.
Tony, Brightlingsea, England
High food and fuel price inflation is squeezing disposable incomes so this news is hardly surprising. What we certainly don't need is more rate-cutting currency devaluation which will only push inflation higher and make matters worse.
Paul, Coventry,
5 Saturdays in May; 4 in June. Problem solved?
Bruce Robertson, Brighton, UK
Of course retail sales are down, where do retailers expect consumers to find the extra cash from to pay their increased prices?? Do they think we're alchemists or magicians? Maybe we're expected to steal it, I don't know.
Yvonne, Doncaster, UK
Isn't this a good thing? We've been a materialistic nation for far too long.
Garth, Newport, UK
We need a change in fiscal or montary policy this next month UK cannot continue like this. This fall will be as bad as the depression of the 1930's i dont care really we need a new govt and people who know how to run a country get the sweeds involved they know how
emmakatlin, Leeds , West Yorkshire
Great news. Well done the British public. This will drive down household debt levels. Keep at it.
Scamp, Aberdeenshire, Scotland